Agricultural products account for an increasing share of total U.S. imports. From fiscal years (FY) 2004 to 2023, the value of U.S. imports of agricultural products rose an average 3.7% annually
USDA’s Economic Research Service forecasts inflation-adjusted U.S. net cash farm income (NCFI) — gross cash income minus cash expenses — to increase by $13.5 billion (8.7%) from 2021 to $168.5 billion in 2022. This is the highest level since 2012.
Debt-to-asset (D/A) ratios measure the amount of assets that are financed by debt and can indicate a farm’s risk exposure and ability to overcome adverse financial events. The share of farm businesses that are highly leveraged (D/A ratio between 0.41-0.70) has fallen since 2015, but is forecast to increase slightly in 2018 and 2019.
According to USDA’s Economic Research Service’s agricultural trade projections, U.S. ag exports are projected to total $141.5 billion in fiscal year (FY) 2019, while ag imports are expected to total $127 billion. This would indicate a trade surplus of $14.5 billion.
Students of the business of agriculture know that crop receipts are generally a good indicator of how thick farmers’ wallets will be after the harvest is completed and the crops are sold.
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In this episode of On the Record, brought to you by Associated Equipment Distributors, we take an initial look at the Dealer Business Outlook & Trends Report and what dealers are forecasting for 2025.