U.S. net cash farm income (gross cash income less cash expenses) when adjusted for inflation is forecast to decrease $13.1 billion (10.7%) to $109.6 billion in 2020.
The Ag Economy Barometer rose to a reading of 167 in January, a 17-point jump from December when the index stood at 150. Virtually all of the rise in this month’s barometer was attributable to a sharp rise in optimism about future conditions in agriculture.
According to Ag Equipment Intelligence’s January 2020 Dealer Sentiment & Business Conditions Update report, the percentage of dealers reporting their used equipment inventories as “too high” has reached its lowest level since spring of 2012.
Continued adoption and integration of new technologies to improve crop yields and meet the soaring demand for food are expected to be key influencers for growth in the agriculture market, according to a new study, Vertical Market Outlook Series: Agriculture Equipment released by the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation.
The Equipment Leasing and Finance Assn.’s (ELFA) Monthly Leasing and Finance Index (MLFI-25), which reports economic activity from 25 companies representing a cross section of the $900 billion equipment finance sector, showed their overall new business volume for December was $12.9 billion, up 2% year-over-year from new business volume in December 2018.
The Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation has released the January 2020 Monthly Confidence Index for the Equipment Finance Industry (MCI-EFI). Overall, confidence in the equipment finance market rose for the third consecutive month to 59.9, an increase from the December index of 56.2.
The volume of agricultural lending at commercial banks remained elevated but declined for a second consecutive quarter, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s latest Ag Finance Databook report. Total non-real estate farm loans decreased about 12% in the fourth quarter and declined over consecutive quarters for the first time since early 2017.
A recent report from the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation estimates that investment in ag machinery will increase over the next 3-6 months, after being up at an annualized rate by 2% in 3Q19.
The January 2020 Beige Book, released by the Federal Reserve System, included conditions impacting agriculture throughout the country. In this edition, it was noted that agricultural conditions were mixed across the districts, impacted by low commodity prices, trade conflicts, drought and the signing of the USMCA.
Dealer optimism in the rural lifestyle equipment segment remained healthy but dipped slightly from last year’s outlook. About 85% of surveyed dealers who focus on rural lifestyle equipment expect revenue in 2020 to be as good or better than revenue in 2019, down slightly from the 88% reported in last year’s survey.
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In this episode of On the Record, brought to you by Associated Equipment Distributors, we take an initial look at the Dealer Business Outlook & Trends Report and what dealers are forecasting for 2025.